El Niño 2026–27: A Very Strong Pacific Event Could Reshape Weather Around the World
NOAA and the World Meteorological Organization expect an exceptionally strong El Niño to develop through the end of 2026 and persist into early 2027. From drought risks in Southern Africa to flood threats in East Africa and a potentially stormier winter in parts of the United States, the consequences could reach millions of people. Here is where the risks are highest, what scientists are forecasting, and what remains uncertain.
By Immigrants.live Editorial Team
Published: November 3, 2026
Last reviewed: November 3, 2026
A change in the Pacific could affect millions of people thousands of miles away
Something significant is happening in the Pacific Ocean.
Sea temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific are rising far above normal, weakening the atmospheric patterns that usually move warm water and rainfall toward Asia.
Scientists are now tracking an unusually strong El Niño event, one that could become among the most powerful observed since modern records began.
The consequences are not expected to be the same everywhere.
Some regions are facing increased drought risk. Others could experience heavier rainfall, flooding and disruption to agriculture. In parts of North America, the developing pattern could influence the coming winter's temperature and precipitation.
For communities already dealing with water shortages, crop losses, high food prices or damaged infrastructure, even a relatively small shift in seasonal rainfall can have serious consequences.
And the effects may not stop when the Pacific Ocean begins to cool.
The biggest concern is that the weather disruption of late 2026 could translate into agricultural losses, food-price pressure and humanitarian needs months later in 2027.
This is why scientists, governments and humanitarian organizations are watching the event so closely.
How serious is the 2026–2027 El Niño?
The latest forecasts from the world's leading climate institutions indicate that the event is likely to become very strong.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued an El Niño Advisory in October 2026.
Its October 8 diagnostic discussion said that a strong-to-very-strong event was likely to persist through January–March 2027, with the probability remaining above 83%.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) published a further global seasonal outlook on October 21.
Its multi-model forecast projected the average sea-surface temperature anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region at approximately +3.8°C during November 2026–January 2027, with the warming trend expected to peak around December.
These figures describe forecast ocean conditions, not temperatures already observed across the entire Pacific.
The forecasts also use different ENSO measurement methods, so their numerical values should not be compared as though they were the same index.
What makes this event unusual?
El Niño events are classified according to their strength.
NOAA uses four broad categories:
Weak.
Moderate.
Strong.
Very strong.
The phrase 'Super El Niño' is often used in headlines and public discussion, but it is not a standardized operational category used by the WMO.
For this article, we use the scientifically recognized term very strong El Niño.
The important point is not the label. It is the combination of unusually warm ocean conditions, atmospheric changes and the potential for widespread shifts in rainfall and temperature patterns.
The numbers to watch
Indicator | Latest information |
Current phase | El Niño Advisory |
NOAA outlook | Strong-to-very-strong conditions likely through Jan–Mar 2027 |
WMO Niño 3.4 forecast | Approximately +3.8°C for Nov 2026–Jan 2027 |
Expected peak | Around December 2026 |
Expected persistence | Into early 2027 |
Main concern | Shifts in rainfall, heat, drought and flood risks |
These are seasonal climate indicators, not predictions of the exact weather on a particular date or in a particular city.
What exactly is El Niño?
El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a naturally occurring climate pattern involving the tropical Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere above it.
Under normal conditions, trade winds blow from east to west across the equatorial Pacific.
They push warm surface water toward Indonesia and northern Australia. In the eastern Pacific, particularly off the coast of South America, colder water rises from deeper layers of the ocean.
This process is called upwelling.
It helps maintain different ocean temperatures across the tropical Pacific and influences where clouds and rainfall develop.
During El Niño, the trade winds weaken.
Warm surface water shifts eastward, ocean temperatures rise across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, and the zones of rising air, clouds and rainfall also move.
That changes atmospheric circulation far beyond the Pacific.
Storm tracks can shift. Seasonal rainfall can become unusually high in some regions and unusually low in others.
The result is a climate signal that can influence agriculture, water availability, wildfires, fisheries, energy production and public health.
El Niño typically occurs every two to seven years and lasts approximately nine to twelve months, although individual events vary considerably.
It is not a single storm, heatwave or drought.
It is a large-scale climate pattern that changes the odds of particular weather conditions over entire seasons.
The global impact map: Where are the biggest risks in 2026–2027?
A very strong El Niño does not mean that every country will experience extreme weather.
The pattern is regional and seasonal. Its effects are also modified by other climate systems, including the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and conditions in the Atlantic Ocean.
Forecasts therefore identify areas where certain outcomes become more likely, not places where disaster is guaranteed.
The following regional assessment combines WMO seasonal outlooks, NOAA forecasts and FEWS NET's October 2026 food-security analysis.
Explore the Global El Niño Impact Map
El Niño does not affect every country in the same way. Select a region on our interactive map to explore the seasonal outlook, areas to watch and potential consequences for communities, agriculture and infrastructure.
1. Southern Africa: One of the highest-risk regions for drought
Southern Africa is among the regions receiving the strongest warnings.
FEWS NET expects the October 2026–March 2027 rainy season to be affected by:
Late rainfall onset.
Below-average precipitation.
Longer dry periods.
Above-average temperatures.
Reduced water availability.
Areas of particular concern include Zimbabwe, southern and central Mozambique, southern Malawi, southern Zambia, southern Angola, southern Madagascar and Lesotho.
The consequences could extend well beyond agriculture.
Less rainfall can affect:
Crop planting and development.
Livestock pasture and water supplies.
Agricultural employment.
Hydropower generation.
Domestic water access.
The problem is particularly serious because some rural households already have limited financial resources to cope with another poor season.
There is, however, an important protective factor.
Southern Africa entered the 2026–2027 season with a cereal harvest nearly 10% above its five-year average, supported by strong maize production in South Africa and Zambia.
These stocks should help cushion the first part of the season.
But if the 2027 harvest is significantly below average, regional supply could tighten as reserves decline.
FEWS NET warns that food-security consequences could become most severe during the November 2027–March 2028 lean season.
In other words, the most serious effects may appear long after the strongest weather signal has passed.
2. East Africa: More rain in some places, dangerous drought in others
This is one of the most important details in the entire forecast.
It would be misleading to say that El Niño will simply make East Africa wetter or drier.
Different parts of the region have different rainy seasons.
In areas where rainfall is normally concentrated in one major season, including parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia and Uganda's Karamoja region, rainfall deficits have already been significant.
FEWS NET reports that the June–September 2026 rainy season was substantially below average in many locations.
In northern Sudan, some areas received 45% or less of normal rainfall.
In parts of South Sudan, rainfall totals were below 60% of average.
These deficits are expected to affect agricultural production, livestock and household incomes.
The situation is especially concerning where climate stress overlaps with conflict and displacement.
The most severe food-security outcomes in some of these areas are expected between March and September 2027.
But the eastern Horn of Africa faces almost the opposite rainfall signal.
During the October–December 2026 short rains, El Niño, combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, is expected to increase rainfall across parts of the Greater Horn.
In many areas, rainfall could reach 150% or more of average.
That sounds positive, and in some places it may improve pasture, water availability and crop production.
However, exceptionally heavy rain can also produce dangerous flooding.
FEWS NET identifies particular concern along the Shabelle and Juba rivers in Somalia, as well as low-lying agricultural areas of southern Somalia, Kenya and southeastern Ethiopia.
Floods can destroy crops, kill livestock, displace households and interrupt transport.
The same climate event can therefore increase drought risks in one part of East Africa and flooding risks in another.
3. Central America: A difficult season for farmers
El Niño is associated with a drier and more irregular rainy season across parts of Central America.
The most significant rainfall deficits have been observed in the Central American Dry Corridor.
This region includes agricultural communities that depend heavily on seasonal rain.
If dry periods occur during critical stages of crop development, farmers may lose part of their harvest.
That can have a direct effect on household income and food access.
FEWS NET identifies Guatemala's Dry Corridor, Alta Verapaz and Western Highlands among areas where repeated weather shocks could reduce agricultural production.
In Honduras, weaker crop production could further affect rural households already facing high fuel and fertilizer costs.
The most serious food-security consequences are generally expected during lean-season periods between March and August 2027.
This is an important example of how a climate event can become an economic and social problem long after the initial rainfall deficit occurs.
4. Colombia and northern South America: Uneven rainfall and agricultural pressure
The effect of El Niño in South America is not uniform.
WMO's October climate outlook identified a broad dry signal over northwestern South America, while the southeast of the continent has a greater likelihood of above-average rainfall.
FEWS NET reports that agricultural impacts in Colombia have been particularly significant in La Guajira.
Other parts of the country have experienced a mixture of rainfall deficits, heavy-rain events and local crop damage.
This matters because El Niño does not simply mean less rain everywhere.
A region may experience agricultural drought in one area and destructive rainfall in another.
For communities relying on rain-fed agriculture, even a relatively short period of water stress during planting or crop development can reduce yields.
5. Pakistan and South Asia: The monsoon connection
El Niño often weakens summer monsoon rainfall across parts of South Asia.
The 2026 monsoon season has already produced significant rainfall deficits across parts of Pakistan, including Sindh, Balochistan, southern Punjab and parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
FEWS NET identifies El Niño-related rainfall deficits as an important contributor to reduced agricultural production.
The effects may include:
Lower crop yields.
Reduced agricultural labour income.
Pressure on rural household budgets.
Higher dependence on food markets.
Greater vulnerability where food prices are already high.
The most severe food-security conditions in Pakistan are expected between January and March 2027.
There is also a potentially positive factor.
El Niño can sometimes bring more favourable rainfall conditions for the subsequent winter wheat season, known locally as the rabi crop.
FEWS NET expects this to provide some support, although not necessarily enough to offset earlier losses completely.
6. United States: A warmer north and a wetter southern winter?
The United States has one of the clearest national seasonal outlooks currently available.
NOAA expects warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the northern United States, including the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Midwest, Mississippi Valley and large parts of the East.
At the same time, wetter-than-average conditions are favoured across the southern tier of the country, stretching from the Southwest through the Southeast and along the East Coast.
This is a classic pattern associated with strong El Niño winters.
The jet stream tends to shift southward and eastward, influencing the path of winter storms.
For parts of the southern United States, this may mean more opportunities for rainfall and winter precipitation.
But more rain is not automatically good news.
After extended drought, heavy rainfall on dry or hard-packed ground can increase the risk of flash flooding and mudslides.
NOAA also expects drought conditions to improve across parts of the Southwest, Southern Great Plains, Southeast and East Coast.
There are exceptions.
Parts of the northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Alaska are favoured to remain drier than average.
The outlook does not predict individual storms, snowfall totals or the exact temperature in a particular city.
7. Europe: What does El Niño mean for the coming winter?
Europe is a particularly interesting case because El Niño's effects are less direct than in the tropics and parts of North America.
The October 2026 Copernicus Climate Change Service forecast identified a tendency towards above-average seasonal temperatures and precipitation across much of Europe.
However, confidence varies by region.
The signals are weaker over Scandinavia and, for precipitation, across some southern parts of Europe.
For the United Kingdom and north-western Europe, UK Government Office for Science analysis identifies a slightly increased possibility of stronger westerly winds and low-pressure systems during October–December 2026.
That could raise the chances of unsettled weather, stronger storms, heavy rainfall and flooding.
For early 2027, the same assessment identifies a slightly increased risk of easterly or northerly airflow and short colder spells.
These are changes in seasonal probabilities, not a guarantee that Europe will experience an exceptionally warm winter followed by a deep freeze.
For Central Europe, including Poland, it would be premature to translate the El Niño forecast into a precise winter prediction.
Other atmospheric patterns, especially the North Atlantic Oscillation and polar circulation, also strongly influence European weather.
The practical message is simple: follow national meteorological forecasts rather than assuming that El Niño determines what will happen in your city.
8. Australia and Indonesia: The western Pacific remains an important area to watch
El Niño is traditionally associated with drier conditions across parts of Australia and Indonesia.
The mechanism is linked to the eastward shift of warm surface water and tropical rainfall across the Pacific.
The October WMO outlook identified a broad dry signal over the western Pacific.
However, the effect varies by location and season.
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology notes that El Niño often increases the likelihood of drier conditions across central and eastern Australia during winter and spring.
The current November–January outlook must be followed independently rather than assuming that every part of Australia will remain dry.
The risks worth monitoring include water availability, agricultural production, heat, vegetation stress and fire weather.
The same applies to Indonesia, where rainfall deficits can have significant consequences for agriculture and local water resources.
What could happen to global food prices?
This is one of the questions most likely to affect people far beyond the regions experiencing extreme weather.
A drought in a major agricultural producer can reduce harvests, increase import demand and put pressure on food prices.
But it is important not to confuse regional agricultural losses with a guaranteed global food shortage.
FEWS NET examined production trends during strong and very strong El Niño events since 1980.
Its analysis found that global output of maize, wheat and rice changed relatively little on balance in these historical events.
Losses in some major producing countries were often partly offset by stronger production elsewhere.
That does not mean there is no danger.
The effects can be severe in regions that depend on a small number of suppliers.
Southern Africa: Maize is the major concern
Countries across Southern Africa depend heavily on maize produced within the region.
South Africa is a particularly important supplier.
If El Niño reduces its 2027 harvest, neighbouring food-deficit countries may face tighter supplies and higher prices.
However, strong early-2026 maize harvests in South Africa and Zambia have created reserves that should help cushion the first part of the current season.
The risk becomes more significant if another poor harvest causes those stocks to decline.
West Africa: Imported rice could become more expensive
Several West African countries rely on imported rice from Asian markets.
If El Niño affects rice production in India or Thailand, import-dependent markets could face additional pressure.
The impact would depend on global production, export policies, competing demand, transport costs and available stocks.
Australia: Wheat matters far beyond Australia
Australia is an important global wheat exporter.
A significant reduction in Australian wheat production can tighten supplies for importing countries, including countries that depend heavily on Australian grain.
Yemen is one example: Australia supplied more than one-third of Yemen's wheat imports in the 2024–2025 marketing year.
This shows why climate events can have consequences far away from the areas directly affected by drought.
The most realistic risk is not an automatic worldwide food-price explosion. It is a series of regional supply shocks that can spread through trade and disproportionately affect countries with limited purchasing power.
Will El Niño make 2027 one of the hottest years ever recorded?
It could contribute to another exceptionally warm year, although the precise global temperature outcome cannot be determined from the El Niño forecast alone.
El Niño has a temporary warming influence on global average temperatures.
As ocean-atmosphere circulation changes, heat is redistributed and released into the atmosphere.
The largest global temperature influence often occurs after the peak of ocean warming, which is one reason climate scientists pay particular attention to the year following the development of a strong event.
There is also an important distinction between natural climate variability and long-term climate change.
El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon. It is not caused by climate change.
The WMO says there is no evidence that climate change increases the frequency or intensity of El Niño events.
However, a warmer background climate can amplify some associated impacts.
Higher baseline temperatures, increased evaporation and greater atmospheric moisture availability can intensify certain heat and heavy-rainfall risks.
This means that a natural climate event can produce more serious consequences when it interacts with an already warmer climate system.
The 2026–2027 El Niño is therefore an important factor in the global temperature outlook, but not the only one.
How long could the effects last?
The strongest Pacific warming is expected around December 2026.
WMO's October outlook points to stronger El Niño conditions through November 2026–January 2027.
NOAA expects strong-to-very-strong conditions to remain likely into January–March 2027.
The eventual decline of the ocean warming would not mean that all related impacts disappear immediately.
There is a delay between rainfall anomalies, agricultural losses and the time those losses affect household food availability and prices.
For example, a failed rainy season can affect planting immediately.
The loss of harvest income, livestock productivity and local food stocks may only become fully visible months later.
FEWS NET emphasizes that some of the most severe food-security effects typically emerge during the lean season following the affected rainy season.
This is particularly important for Southern Africa, where the greatest food-security needs could emerge in late 2027 and early 2028.
The weather signal may peak in 2026. The human and economic consequences could continue well into 2027 and beyond.
What should ordinary people do now?
There is no need to panic or make expensive decisions based solely on the words 'very strong El Niño'.
The useful response is to understand the risks that apply to your region.
If you live in a flood-prone area
Follow local weather warnings and evacuation instructions.
Know whether your home, workplace or travel route is in a flood-risk area.
Keep important documents and essential medication accessible.
Avoid driving through floodwater.
Pay attention to official information about river levels and drainage.
If you live in an area facing drought or water shortages
Monitor official water-use restrictions.
Reduce unnecessary water consumption.
Keep informed about local agricultural and food-market conditions.
Pay attention to heat alerts, especially for children, older people and vulnerable residents.
If you are planning international travel
Check official weather warnings close to departure.
Review airline disruption and rebooking conditions.
Understand how your travel insurance treats weather-related disruption.
Avoid relying on seasonal forecasts as though they were exact predictions of individual storms.
If you work in agriculture or a climate-sensitive business
Review seasonal forecasts and local rainfall observations.
Assess dependence on a single supplier, crop or transport route.
Consider water-storage and irrigation plans where appropriate.
Review contingency plans for heat, drought and flooding.
Follow national agricultural and meteorological advisories.
For families
A useful household preparedness plan does not need to be expensive.
Keep essential documents, emergency contacts, medication and basic supplies accessible.
In areas with flood risks, know the safest route to higher ground.
In areas with heat risks, plan how to keep indoor spaces cool and ensure that vulnerable family members can access water and medical help.
The most important preparation is not predicting the exact weather months in advance.
It is knowing which hazards are relevant to where you live and understanding how official warnings are communicated.
What scientists still cannot predict
A very strong El Niño is an important climate signal, but it does not make the weather completely predictable.
There are several major limitations.
First, regional effects vary. Two areas within the same country may experience different rainfall outcomes.
Second, other climate drivers matter. The Indian Ocean Dipole, tropical Atlantic temperatures, the North Atlantic Oscillation and atmospheric circulation patterns can modify or reinforce typical El Niño effects.
Third, seasonal forecasts are not daily weather forecasts. They indicate the likelihood of a season being warmer, colder, wetter or drier than average. They cannot tell you exactly when a storm will hit your town.
Fourth, individual events require local assessment. A seasonal signal does not establish that a particular flood, drought, hurricane or wildfire was caused by El Niño alone.
Fifth, forecasts change. As new ocean observations and atmospheric data become available, outlooks are updated.
That is why the next NOAA ENSO diagnostic update, scheduled for November 12, 2026, will be particularly important.
The WMO and national meteorological agencies will continue refining their outlooks as the Pacific event develops.
The bottom line: The Pacific is sending a warning. The world has time to prepare.
A very strong El Niño is developing, and the forecasts suggest that it could remain a major influence on global weather into early 2027.
Its effects will not be distributed equally.
Southern Africa faces significant drought concerns. Parts of East Africa are dealing with a complicated mix of rainfall deficits and flood risks. Central America and Pakistan remain vulnerable to agricultural disruption. The United States is preparing for a winter with a pronounced north–south contrast in temperature and precipitation probabilities.
Europe is also being monitored, but its seasonal outlook depends on several interacting atmospheric patterns.
The biggest lesson from previous El Niño events is that the immediate weather is only part of the story.
What happens to harvests, water reserves, household income, food stocks and infrastructure may matter long after the ocean has started returning towards normal conditions.
The opportunity now is to use the forecasts before the most serious consequences occur.
Governments can prepare emergency responses. Farmers can adjust decisions. Water authorities can strengthen monitoring. Humanitarian agencies can plan ahead. Households can become more aware of local risks.
El Niño cannot be stopped. But the damage caused by extreme weather can often be reduced when people receive reliable information early enough to act.
The Pacific is changing. The question is whether the rest of the world is ready.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is El Niño?
El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, a natural climate pattern involving unusually warm surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific and changes in atmospheric circulation.
Is there a Super El Niño in 2026–2027?
Forecasts point to a very strong event. 'Super El Niño' is an informal media expression, not a standardized WMO classification. NOAA uses categories such as weak, moderate, strong and very strong.
How strong could the 2026–2027 El Niño become?
The WMO October 21 outlook forecasts a Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly of approximately +3.8°C for November 2026–January 2027. NOAA's October outlook indicates a strong-to-very-strong event is likely through January–March 2027.
When is El Niño expected to peak?
Current WMO forecasts indicate that the Pacific warming is likely to peak around December 2026. Its atmospheric and economic impacts may continue into 2027.
Which countries face the greatest drought risk?
FEWS NET identifies Southern Africa as a region of high concern, particularly Zimbabwe, parts of Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia, Angola, Madagascar and Lesotho. Rainfall deficits have also affected parts of East Africa and Central America.
Which regions face increased flood risk?
The eastern Horn of Africa, including parts of Somalia, Kenya and southeastern Ethiopia, faces heightened flood risk during the October–December 2026 rainy season. The NOAA outlook also favours wetter-than-average conditions across parts of the southern United States and East Coast during winter.
Will El Niño cause a global food shortage?
There is no evidence that a global food shortage is inevitable. Historical global production of maize, wheat and rice has changed relatively little on balance during strong and very strong El Niño events. However, local and regional harvest losses can cause serious food-security problems and price pressure.
Will Europe have a warmer winter because of El Niño?
Seasonal forecasts favour above-average temperatures across much of Europe, but the strength of the signal differs by region. El Niño is only one influence on European weather. It does not guarantee a mild winter or rule out cold spells.
Will the United States have a warmer winter?
NOAA's December 2026–February 2027 outlook favours warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the northern United States and wetter-than-average conditions across parts of the southern United States and East Coast.
Does climate change cause El Niño?
No. El Niño is a naturally occurring climate phenomenon. The WMO reports no evidence that climate change increases the frequency or intensity of El Niño events, although a warmer climate background can amplify some associated impacts.
Can El Niño cause hurricanes, wildfires and floods?
El Niño changes the conditions that influence several weather hazards. It can affect hurricane activity, rainfall, drought and wildfire conditions. But individual events have multiple causes, and local forecasts and warnings remain essential.
How can people prepare for El Niño?
Follow official local weather warnings, understand flood and drought risks in your area, monitor water and heat advisories, and prepare for possible travel or infrastructure disruption. Seasonal forecasts should not be treated as precise day-to-day weather predictions.
Sources and editorial methodology
This article combines official seasonal climate forecasts, national meteorological outlooks, food-security analysis and scientific background material available on November 3, 2026.
Climate forecasts and ocean conditions
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
Global Seasonal Climate Update, November 2026–January 2027, October 21, 2026.
Sea-surface temperatures reflect strengthening El Niño, October 8, 2026.
El Niño set to become very strong, raising risks of extreme weather into 2027, September 3, 2026.
WMO: Prepare for El Niño, June 2, 2026.
US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, October 8, 2026.
Official ENSO Strength Probabilities, October 2026.
El Niño looms large over U.S. Winter Outlook, October 15, 2026.
Understanding El Niño and ENSO.
Regional food security and agricultural risks
FEWS NET
2026–2027 El Niño food security impacts, October 6, 2026.
El Niño 2026–2027 regional monitoring and analysis.
Europe
Copernicus Climate Change Service
Latest seasonal forecasts, October 10, 2026.
UK Government Office for Science
Impacts of El Niño on the UK, updated September 17, 2026.
Australia
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
El Niño: what it means for Australia's climate.
Editorial methodology
Forecasts are presented as probabilities and seasonal outlooks, not guaranteed outcomes.
The article distinguishes between:
Observed ocean and atmospheric conditions.
Forecast ocean-temperature anomalies.
Regional seasonal rainfall and temperature probabilities.
Potential agricultural and food-security consequences.
Historical El Niño patterns.
The term 'Super El Niño' is explained as informal terminology. The article uses the official scientific classification 'very strong El Niño'.
Regional impacts are attributed to the relevant forecasting institution. No individual storm, flood, drought, heatwave or wildfire is attributed to El Niño solely because it occurs during the event.
Forecasts may change as new observations and model guidance become available.
Disclaimer: This article is for general information and public awareness. It is not an official local weather forecast, emergency warning, agricultural advisory or financial recommendation. For immediate weather risks, follow the national meteorological service and emergency-management authority responsible for your area.
Komentarze